A Recent Report Predicts That The Us Economy Will Not Recover From The Consequences Of The Corona Pandemic, Which May Take Three Years

A Recent Report Predicts That The Us Economy Will Not Recover From The Consequences Of The Corona Pandemic, Which May Take Three Years


    The US and Eurozone economies could take until 2023 to recover from the effect of the COVID-19 coronavirus emergency, as indicated by another report from consultancy McKinsey and Company. 

    The report made clear that the time required for the economy to recover from the consequences of the Coronavirus and the slowdown in economic growth rates, and the sharp drop in the price of a barrel of oil, depending on the effectiveness of the precautionary measures taken by the governments of countries to limit the spread of the virus. This puts us in front of 3 scenarios:

    Scenario 1: A Muted Recovery

    On the off chance that the public health response, including social removing and lockdown measures, is at first fruitful however neglects to forestall a resurgence in the infection, the world will encounter a "quieted" financial recovery, says McKinsey. In this scenario, while the worldwide economy would recover to pre-emergency levels by the second from the last quarter of 2022, the US economy would require until the principal quarter of 2023 and Europe until the second from last quarter of that year. 

    Scenario 2: Moderate ٌRecovery

    In the event that the public health response is more grounded and increasingly effective - controlling the spread of the infection in every nation inside a few months - the standpoint could be progressively positive, with financial recovery by the second from last quarter of 2020 for the US, the final quarter of 2020 for China and the principal quarter of 2021 for the Eurozone. 

    Scenario 3: Containing The Pandemic

    In these scenarios including in part viable intercessions, approach reactions could halfway counterbalance financial harm and help to keep away from a financial emergency, says McKinsey. The firm has displayed nine scenarios, going from quick and viable control of the infection with profoundly powerful arrangement mediations to an expansive disappointment of general wellbeing measures and insufficient strategy and financial intercessions. 

    The devastating impact of Covid-19 on the US economy may go beyond all the crises that preceded it since World War II

    The sectors most affected by the spread of Covid-19 may not recover before the beginning of 2021

    The economic impact in the US, however, could exceed anything experienced since the end of World War II.

    The businesses sectors hardest hit by COVID-19, including business aviation, travel, and protection, may see a more slow recovery. Inside the movement sector, the stun to prompt interest is evaluated to be five-to-multiple times more prominent than following the fear assaults of 11 September 2001 - however recovery might be faster for local travel. The emergency has likewise enhanced existing difficulties or vulnerabilities in the aviation and car ventures, which will influence their recovery rates. 

    As supply chains far and wide are upset, the report cautions that the full effect is yet to be felt. Business pioneers must get ready for the consequences for creation, transport and coordination, and client request. These remember a droop for requests from customers prompting stock "whiplash," just as parts and work deficiencies because of assembling plants closing or lessening limit.

    كاتب حر
    @Posted by
    writer and blogger, founder of education .

    Post a comment